President Trump is effectively viewed as the President of the United States again. The world has already begun to see the transition from President Biden's administration to Trump's, unless Biden takes significant actions like handing over nuclear weapons to Ukraine.
Recent developments include Trump's discussions with the President of Mexico and Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau's visit to Mar-a-Lago, indicating growing international engagement with Trump. Additionally, Trump is working towards a hostage deal with Hamas before he officially resumes office, showing promise in securing a ceasefire with Hezbollah, even if some violations might occur. There also appears to be progress on the Gaza conflict and hostage negotiations.
Trump is facilitating a ceasefire between Ukraine and Russia that doesn't mean abandoning support for Ukraine, unlike previous expectations. If he achieves this before January 20th, it could represent a significant accomplishment compared to the Biden administration's efforts over three years. Ukraine's President Zelenskyy has adjusted his expectations regarding territory, while Putin believes Trump can lead to a favorable negotiation, suggesting that Trump aims for an immediate ceasefire rather than cutting off Ukraine’s support.
In his recent messaging, Trump highlighted what he sees as the potential resolution for the Ukraine conflict while nominating General Keith Kellogg as his special envoy for Ukraine and Russia. Kellogg has a detailed peace plan, describing the war as an avoidable crisis stemming from Biden's policies. The plan aims for a ceasefire to stop fighting and encourage negotiations, which underscores Trump's deal-making focus.
The global perception seems to be shifting away from Biden, as international actors prepare for a Trump presidency and seek early negotiations with him. If Biden stays back and allows Trump to secure important agreements before assuming office, he can claim credit for any positive outcomes, although this may not be widely believed.
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