Let that sink in. Yes, the polls that President Biden insists have been “wrong all along” show a consistently tight contest. But the word that should (and does) alarm Democrats is “consistently.” The incumbent president, in battleground polls in particular, is consistently trailing the former president, who as of Thursday afternoon is a convicted felon.
To say the least, it bodes poorly for Biden if, a month from now, the polls are unmoved. And despite Democrats’ dogged efforts to sideline Donald Trump — it is entirely possible that is the case.
Will casual Trump supporters and undecideds at last tilt to the Democrats out of frustration with his endless legal battles and tawdry personal life? Will they see Alvin Bragg's prosecution as inherently partisan and flawed, and therefore the convictions that resulted as tainted? Dan writes, We're in completely uncharted territory here.
Trump's sentencing is set for right before the Republican convention; jail is a remote possibility.
As John Yoo notes, a Quinnipiac poll found "a conviction would make only 6 percent of self-identified Trump voters less likely to vote for him." Ramesh Ponnuru argues that the trial may have helped Trump to "Shore up his support by illustrating and dramatizing his central theme of his victimization by weaponized government." Recent developments in Trump's multifarious other criminal cases could push off any more trials until after the election.
In early May, a judge postponed Trump's trial over his alleged mishandling of classified files.
The U.S. Supreme Court is reviewing Trump's immunity claims in the federal election-interference case, and the speed and nature of that decision could determine whether the case goes to trial before or after November.
https://www.nationalreview.com/the-weekend-jolt/biden-is-now-losing-to-a-felon/
No comments:
Post a Comment