Wednesday, July 31, 2024

Buttigieg’s Bold Crime Claim Doesn’t Hold Up

The problem is that the FBI data only counts crime reported to police, not total crime, and even then, it does a poor job of measuring reported crime.

Survey results indicate that only 42% of violent crime and 32% of property crime were reported to law enforcement in 2022, the last year the NCVS data is available.

In saying Biden's claim was correct, Politifact declared: "Other types of crime statistics, including the National Crime Victimization Survey, show current levels of violent crime far lower than their peaks in the early 1990s." But Biden was saying that the violent crime rate was near a 50-year low, not that it was lower than it was in the 1990s.

Since 2020, the FBI's number of reported crimes and the NCVS's number of total crimes have been negatively correlated.

In 2022, the FBI reported a 2.1% drop in violent crime while the NCVS showed an alarming increase of 42.4% - the largest one-year percentage increase in violent crime ever recorded by the NCVS. It is puzzling enough that measures of reported and total crime don't match.

In 2022, 32% of police departments didn't report CRIME data to the FBI. Another 24% only partially reported it, so less than half of departments fully reported crime data.

People may think that they reported a crime by calling 911, but a crime isn't officially counted until police make a report. 

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2024/07/31/buttigiegs_bold_crime_claim_doesnt_hold_up_151356.html

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