Sunday, December 1, 2024

Recent Paper Shows Little Ice Age, Climate Driven By A Number Of Natural Driving Factors

The Little Ice Age, which lasted from about 1250 to 1860, was an important climatic event. It significantly impacted the Franklin expedition, which aimed to find the Northwest Passage but failed due to ice conditions. Key climate drivers during this period included volcanic activity and low solar activity. Research shows that while winters were often extremely cold, many summers experienced warm and dry conditions. A 2022 study analyzed how temperatures changed from the Medieval Climate Anomaly to the Little Ice Age, highlighting that the LIA was likely the coldest period in the last 8000 years, driven largely by many cold winters and several volcanic eruptions.

The study's findings indicate that the beginning of the LIA varied between hemispheres, and the overall drop in temperature can be linked to these natural phenomena. The reduction in solar energy during significant Grand Solar Minima also played a role, contributing to shifts in ocean circulation patterns. Extreme weather events during this time showed mixed correlations to these climate drivers, with notable links to years following large volcanic eruptions.

The Industrial Revolution began around the mid-19th century, changing landscapes and economies dramatically. Modern meteorology started to take shape during this period, especially due to lessons learned from severe weather events. A recent study attributed 51% of LIA's conditions to volcanic activity, while factors like the North Atlantic Oscillation and the Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation were also significant contributors.

It's important to understand that natural climate variability existed historically, and ideas about a "pre-industrial" climate should be approached cautiously. The complexity of climate events underscores that there should be no romanticized views of the era before industrialization. Observations on human life during that time, such as lower life expectancies, reflect that transitions to modernity were not without challenges. The discourse around climate change often includes discussions about the accuracy of historical temperature records and the roles of various climate factors. It’s crucial to consider how natural phenomena, alongside human activity, contribute to our current climate understanding. 

https://wattsupwiththat.com/2024/12/01/recent-paper-shows-little-ice-age-climate-driven-by-a-number-of-natural-driving-factors/

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