Saturday, September 15, 2018

The Fed may have triggered the '08 crash by accident

Responding to the emerging financial crisis in December 2007, the Fed instituted its first programs to maintain credit for financial institutions and provide foreign central banks with dollar funding for their countries' banks.

The Fed had seen its preferred inflation measure increase from under 2 percent in 2003 to 4 percent in 2008.

The Fed hoped its $296 billion of stimulative emergency lending would offset $290 billion of contractionary securities sales and not affect the banking system or overall economy.

Final passage of the bailout didn't help nor did Fed and international central bank guarantees of bank accounts, money market funds or commercial paper.

Although the procedure is slightly different, the process of Treasury selling debt, obtaining money from the financial markets and leaving it with the Fed has the same contractionary impact as the Fed selling securities directly.

In just seven business days, the Fed and Treasury sold more securities to finance Fed emergency lending than had been done in the previous six months.

Even as the Fed began growing its balance sheet in late September and October, banks only slowly increased lending with the crash's terrible conditions.


http://thehill.com/opinion/finance/406536-the-fed-may-have-triggered-the-08-crash-by-accident

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