A survey conducted by the Palestinian Center for Policy and Survey Research (PSR) from August 5 to 8, 2026, reveals persistent political attitudes in Palestinian society, showcasing support for convicted terrorists and Hamas leaders as potential successors to the Palestinian Authority (PA) presidency. Heightened approval ratings for groups linked to Iran and Hezbollah illustrate broader political sentiments among Palestinians ahead of upcoming elections.
1. Popularity of Convicted Leaders:
Marwan Barghouti, currently imprisoned and convicted for five counts of murder linked to terrorist actions, is favored by 39% of likely Palestinian voters as the next leader of the PA.
Hamas leader Khalil al-Hayya follows Barghouti as a popular candidate.
2. Support for Hamas:
Despite some decline, Hamas remains a major political force. 72% of Palestinians oppose disarming Hamas before Israel withdraws from the Gaza Strip, demonstrating widespread support for the group's armament.
3. Implications of Upcoming Elections:
Scheduled parliamentary elections on November 28, 2026, and presidential elections in early 2027 could repeat the 2006 scenario in which Hamas won power. Data suggest Hama's electoral viability continues, with both factions—Fatah and Hamas—competitive in polls.
4. Perception of International Engagement:
Meetings between US envoy Jared Kushner and Hamas leaders grant the group perceived international legitimacy, which may bolster their position among Palestinians and reinforce the belief that violence leads to negotiation.
5. Continued Support for Extremist Figures:
Palestinians exhibit significant admiration for Iranian and associated proxy groups, with 50% supporting Hezbollah and Iran. This remains troubling against the backdrop of recent conflicts.
6. Declining but Persisting Militancy Support:
While support for armed struggle has decreased, 27% of Palestinians still view it favorably, and 36% are open to renewed armed confrontations against Israel.
7. Dissatisfaction with the PA:
High dissatisfaction exists within PA institutions; 79% desire President Mahmoud Abbas to resign, emphasizing the PA's legitimacy crisis. Corruption and ineffectiveness of PA are prevalent concerns.
8. Need for Political Reform:
Analysts suggest that Palestinian elections alone will not foster democracy or moderation unless coupled with significant political reform, including accountability, judicial independence, and a culture that doesn’t glorify terrorism.
The PSR poll uncovers alarming trends in Palestinian political attitudes, with an enduring preference for convicted terrorist leaders and continued support for militant groups amid dissatisfaction with the current PA. The findings question the appropriateness of upcoming elections without necessary reforms to ensure a move away from extremism and towards genuine democratic practices. The international community faces challenges in framing future engagement with Palestinian factions, particularly when terrorist organizations maintain a strong appeal among the populace.
https://www.gatestoneinstitute.org/22802/palestinians-preferred-leaders-terrorists
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