Monday, April 4, 2022

Focusing On Russia Instead Of China Would Be The Biggest Mistake Ever

The Russian officer attrition in this war is on a level rarely observed in any recent conflict, partially because this level of high-intensity, state versus state, multi-domain total war hasn't occurred in the last few decades.

Russia might still win the war and achieve Ukrainian zonal neutrality, given Russia's sheer weight.

The war proves great powers can deter other great powers and are the only actors that matter, that nationalism is the strongest social force, that interests trump values, norms, and laws.

The chance of a great power being dragged into war due to foolish or overzealous mistakes of smaller peripheral allies is a far bigger threat, as the current world is functionally similar to a multipolar system prior to the First World War than a relatively binary and Manichean conflict of the Second.

Ultimately, the U.S. objective should be not to prolong the war, but to focus on China as a rising threat.

Russia has already been pushed into the arms of the Chinese due to the war.

The almost theological focus on being a part of a conflict in the far corners of Eastern Europe to ensure the continuation of a liberal democratic revolution is fundamentally undercutting American grand strategy, which historically tried to split Russia and China.

https://thefederalist.com/2022/04/04/focusing-on-russia-instead-of-china-would-be-the-united-statess-biggest-foreign-policy-mistake-ever/ 

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