Thursday, April 26, 2018

The problem with the Dem wave theory

The solid South voted Democrat for decades after the Civil Rights Act was passed into law, for reasons stretching back to the Civil War.

Democrats have been successful in using social media platforms to raise lots of money for some of their candidates.

Their United Blue program has been especially effective in connecting small-dollar donors to several different challengers, and as Bloomberg news reported, in the top campaigns Democrats took in $53.6 million through the first quarter of 2018, compared to $40.2 million for Republicans.

As they further report, "Those dollars have been split among many more Democrats than Republicans, 75 to 38. When overall totals for the top Republican and top Democratic fundraising candidate in all 23 districts are aggregated, the Republicans have $27.6 million in the bank, compared with $17.7 million for Democrats."

At the national level, Republicans have raised far more money than the Democrats.

Democrats want to make this race all about President Trump.

As Mother Jones reported in March, "A new report from the Brennan Center for Justice calculates just how much of a landslide Democrats will need in order to win in districts that were drawn specifically to withstand Democratic waves and elect Republicans. The result, report co-author Michael Li says, should be a 'reality check' for Democrats." To win the House, the Democrats would have to win the popular vote by 11 points, according to this left-leaning organization.

http://thehill.com/opinion/campaign/384508-feehery-the-problem-with-the-dem-wave-theory 

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