Thursday, April 26, 2018

Democrats Learning the Limits of Base-First Politics

The brewing debate over the Democrats' path forward is being litigated in two separate red-state Senate races, in which their candidates are utilizing dramatically different strategies.

The pragmatic Bredesen is the Democratic candidate who is proving he's got the better message to win a red-state race.

Democrats will soon find out that, to win elections in the many competitive GOP-leaning states and districts across the country, message matters a lot more than money-and sounding like a card-carrying member of the anti-Trump resistance outside the liberal coasts isn't a smart strategy.

Bredesen's refreshingly independent record-he's a budget hawk and Obamacare critic-is single-handedly putting the race in play.

Neither result reflects how the races will evolve when the campaigns begin-with hard-hitting ads moving many voters back in their partisan corners.

Ultimately, these races will be decided by the number of typical Republican voters willing to defect and support the Democratic nominee.

From Ralph Northam's decisive win in the Virginia governor's race, to Doug Jones's stunning Senate upset in Alabama, to Conor Lamb's victory in the heart of Trump country, the biggest Democratic victories have come from centrist candidates.

https://www.nationaljournal.com/s/667054?unlock=9OQI9L70GM2FMKNA 

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