Something rare and potentially
very dangerous is happening in the market right now. And if history is
any indication, it could spell short-term pain.
The S&P 500 has closed above its five-day moving average for 20
consecutive days. That has only happened just three times before in the
last two decades.
Now, here’s the sad part: Four
weeks after each of one those streaks came to an end, the S&P 500
was down, for an average loss of 3 percent. That’s according to a recent
study by Jonathan Krinsky, chief market technician at MKM Partners.
What’s more, the S&P 500 has
had just seven prior streaks above its five-day moving average lasting
18 days or more. And those, too, also averaged losses four and six weeks
after ending.
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