Saturday, December 1, 2018

The Independent Male Voter will likely determine the 2020 presidential election.

Comparing data from the 2014 national House poll and the 2016 presidential and national House polls to those from the 2018 national House polls demonstrates that while the party lost ground among both sexes, men moved more against Republicans than did women.

In 2014, Independent men gave Republicans a 19-point advantage, while Independent women gave the GOP only a four-point edge.

This year, Independent men voted for Democrats by a seven-point margin, while Democrats carried Independent women by 17 points.

Independent voters from both sexes shifted blue, but men shifted substantially more.

Independent men gave Republicans and Trump an identical 12-point margin, while Independent women voted for Democrats in the House by one point and Clinton by five.

Independent men are why Donald Trump is president, and their switch this election is why Republicans lost so many seats in the House.

Republican efforts going forward must be focused on giving Independent men and women an acceptable choice.

https://www.city-journal.org/independent-male-voter

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