Twelve months later, China and the United States are caught in an unresolved trade war, and Trump's administration has replaced US "Strategic engagement" with China with "Strategic competition."
So what are the prospects for US-China relations in 2019? It's probable that by March there will be an agreement on reducing the bilateral trade deficit and the import decisions that China will make to see it through.
US concerns about Chinese state subsidies under the country's Made in China 2025 strategy will be almost impossible to resolve.
On the wider foreign-policy and security front, China in 2019 is likely to "De-conflict" itself in its relations with other countries, given the core strategic challenges posed by the US. There is already some normalization in relations with Japan.
China also wants to de-escalate tensions with the Association of Southeast Asian Nations over the South China Sea through the accelerated negotiation of a "Code of conduct." China is also likely to enjoy a calmer relationship with India, after the bilateral summit in Wuhan in April.
Maritime incidents with the US in the South China Sea have continued, and the conflict may sharpen if the US pursues its "Freedom of navigation" program more vigorously in the new year.
As China seeks to re-stabilize its relationship with the US, and ease tensions in its non-US relationships, its leaders are likely to use 2019 to form a deeper judgment about the future of US politics: the impact of the ongoing Justice Department investigation into Trump and his administration, and whether a new president in 2020 would in any way change the emerging new US strategy.
http://www.atimes.com/prospects-for-us-china-relations-in-2019/
So what are the prospects for US-China relations in 2019? It's probable that by March there will be an agreement on reducing the bilateral trade deficit and the import decisions that China will make to see it through.
US concerns about Chinese state subsidies under the country's Made in China 2025 strategy will be almost impossible to resolve.
On the wider foreign-policy and security front, China in 2019 is likely to "De-conflict" itself in its relations with other countries, given the core strategic challenges posed by the US. There is already some normalization in relations with Japan.
China also wants to de-escalate tensions with the Association of Southeast Asian Nations over the South China Sea through the accelerated negotiation of a "Code of conduct." China is also likely to enjoy a calmer relationship with India, after the bilateral summit in Wuhan in April.
Maritime incidents with the US in the South China Sea have continued, and the conflict may sharpen if the US pursues its "Freedom of navigation" program more vigorously in the new year.
As China seeks to re-stabilize its relationship with the US, and ease tensions in its non-US relationships, its leaders are likely to use 2019 to form a deeper judgment about the future of US politics: the impact of the ongoing Justice Department investigation into Trump and his administration, and whether a new president in 2020 would in any way change the emerging new US strategy.
http://www.atimes.com/prospects-for-us-china-relations-in-2019/
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