Since lately it seems that the BLS' sole mandate is to smooth and
otherwise seasonally adjust noisy, incomplete employment data, even as
the one part of employment that should not be rising - part-time jobs -
continues to creep ever higher both seasonally adjusted and otherwise,
it has become virtually impossible to get an accurate, unadjusted
perspective of how the US labor force is truly doing. And with this
Friday's non-farm payroll report "the most important ever", as every
other month of course, this time because it will seal the fate of the
taper (or won't) depending if the data is bad enough, everyone is eager
to get a sense of what is going on behind the scenes and how to position
for Friday. Unfortunately this Wednesday's ADP private payrolls report
will be quite inconclusive as well: not only has it become a laughable
predictor of the immediately following NFP data, it does not even
disclose what the unadjusted data actually is.
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2013-09-03/unemployment-one-year-high-gallup-finds
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2013-09-03/unemployment-one-year-high-gallup-finds
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