Friday, May 22, 2020

Why Those COVID-19 Models Aren't Real Science

The massive errors in measurement that have been part and parcel of the scientific COVID Kops show should bring us back to what Lord Kelvin said about science and measurement: "If you cannot measure it, then it is not science" and "Your theory is apt to be based more upon imagination than upon knowledge."

Dr. Anthony Fauci recently testified his belief that its death toll is "Almost certainly higher" than reported, because "There may have been people who died at home who did have COVID, who were not counted as COVID because they never really got to the hospital." In contrast, the Washington Post recently reported that Deborah Birx believes that the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention's accounting system is double counting some cases, boosting case and mortality measurements "By as much as 25 percent." And what could be a clearer statement of the measurement problems than Birx's assertion that "There is nothing from the CDC that I can trust"?

In some places, reported COVID deaths have included everyone who has it when they die, overstating COVID risks.

The director of the Illinois Department of Public Health, Dr. Ngozi Ezike, illustrated the problem when she said, "If you were in hospice and had already been given a few weeks to live, and then you also were found to have COVID, that would be counted as a COVID death.[E]ven if you died of clear alternative cause, but you had COVID at the same time, it's still listed as a COVID death." Further, the miscounting is often not due to judgments about shades of gray.

New York has also counted as COVID deaths cases involving flulike symptoms, even when postmortem COVID tests have been negative.

CDC guidance explicitly advises that "Suspected" cases, even in the absence of test evidence, can be reported as COVID deaths.

All this evidence reveals that the COVID Science and conclusions Americans were supposed to follow unquestioningly have been incredibly incomplete or wrong, with the stability of quicksand.

https://mises.org/wire/why-those-covid-19-models-arent-real-science

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