Saturday, July 7, 2018

Leaked Chinese Memo Warns Of "Thucydides Trap" With US, "War Is Unavoidable"

A series of leaked internal documents reveal that China's military reforms are aimed at allowing Beijing to "Manage a crisis, contain a conflict, win a war" and overtake the United States in military strength, according to the Express.

In particular, he points out that China's Chengdu J-20 low-observable combat aircraft is set to challenge America's "Monopoly on operational stealthy combat aircraft." As we reported yesterday, the J-20 is rumored to have already been deployed to the South China Sea along with several of China's Su-35s, to take part in a joint combat patrol over the region, according to the Chinese Ministry of Defense whose release did not mention the J-20.

"[While] a great power war is not inevitable, states are systematically preparing for the possibility of conflict," he said, adding that China's "Land and naval forces are modernizing and progress in defense aerospace remains remarkable."

According to Bank of America's Mike Hartnett, the "Trade war" of 2018 should be recognized for what it really is: the first stage of a new arms race between the US & China to reach national superiority in technology over the longer-term via Quantum Computing, Artificial Intelligence, Hypersonic Warplanes, Electronic Vehicles, Robotics, and Cyber-Security.

Note military spending by the US and China is forecast by the IMF to rise substantially in coming decades, but the stunner is that by 2050, China is set to overtake the US, spending $4tn on its military while the US is $1 trillion less, or $3tn. This means that some time around 2038, roughly two decades from now, China will surpass the US in military spending, and become the world's dominant superpower not only in population and economic growth - China is set to overtake the US economy by no later than 2032 - but in military strength and global influence as well.

In April, an unclassified 50-page transcript on Advance Policy Questions warned that Beijing has the capability and capacity to control the South China Sea "In all scenarios short of war with the United States."

Davidson's testimony to the US Senate Armed Services Committee, provided us with the much-needed knowledge that American exceptionalism is quickly deteriorating in the South China Sea after more than seventy years of control.

https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-07-06/leaked-chinese-memo-warns-thucydides-trap-us-war-unavoidable

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