CNN story and most other media reports about the resurgent blue wave relied heavily on a recent analysis by Sabato's Crystal Ball, which changed 17 House ratings in favor of the Democrats.
The final Crystal Ball had Democrat Hillary Clinton winning the White House with 322 electoral votes to 216 for Trump.
Certain surveys always overstate Democrat strength, while others invariably overstate GOP strength, and it's no coincidence that they tend to reflect the party line of the organization paying for the poll.
Mark Penn, chairman of the Harris Poll and former pollster to President Clinton from 1995 to 2000, provides a description of the polling business that few pollsters or media types will find flattering.
As Ed Kilgore, by no means a conservative, pointed out over the weekend, "At this point in 2014, Democrats led in most generic congressional polls, but then lost the national House popular vote by nearly 6 percent."
Democrats would need to win by a nearly unprecedented nationwide margin in 2018 to gain control of the House of Representatives.
To attain a bare majority, Democrats would likely have to win the national popular vote by nearly 11 points.
https://spectator.org/blue-wave-balderdash/
The final Crystal Ball had Democrat Hillary Clinton winning the White House with 322 electoral votes to 216 for Trump.
Certain surveys always overstate Democrat strength, while others invariably overstate GOP strength, and it's no coincidence that they tend to reflect the party line of the organization paying for the poll.
Mark Penn, chairman of the Harris Poll and former pollster to President Clinton from 1995 to 2000, provides a description of the polling business that few pollsters or media types will find flattering.
As Ed Kilgore, by no means a conservative, pointed out over the weekend, "At this point in 2014, Democrats led in most generic congressional polls, but then lost the national House popular vote by nearly 6 percent."
Democrats would need to win by a nearly unprecedented nationwide margin in 2018 to gain control of the House of Representatives.
To attain a bare majority, Democrats would likely have to win the national popular vote by nearly 11 points.
https://spectator.org/blue-wave-balderdash/
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