In Michigan's gubernatorial race between Democrat Gov. Gretchen Whitmer and Republican Tudor Dixon, for example, the RCP polling average showed Whitmer with a 1-point advantage heading into Election Day.
The only contested Senate and gubernatorial races in which Republicans outperformed their expected polling averages were those in Florida, where Gov. Ron DeSantis and Sen. Marco Rubio won their elections by 19.4 and 16.4 points, respectively.
While a lack of any concrete vision for the future of the country may be partly to blame, another theory explaining Republicans' election failures can be found in the changes to election procedures enacted in 2020.
In the name of Covid, many states altered their election laws in ways that expanded the use of unsupervised mail-in voting and insecure election practices such as the use of ballot drop boxes in the lead-up to the 2020 presidential contest.
After seeing major success in that election, Democrats realized they don't have to focus on Election Day turnout to win elections - they only need to bank enough mail-in ballots during early voting to bring home the bacon.
With these likely-Democrat voters on state voter rolls, left-wing activists jump into action, harvesting these low-effort votes and running what have become highly effective get-out-the-vote campaigns that accrue Democrats an advantage over Republicans ahead of Election Day.
The reality is that Republicans will continue to lose elections unless they change the laws where they hold power or figure out a way to compete with Democrats' election machine.
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