Monday, June 29, 2020

'Flattening The Curve' Has Become A Massive Bait And Switch

No one promoting flattening the curve talked of stopping the disease; there were no graphs showing that if we locked down, infections would go straight to zero.

Second, flattening the curve was always shown with the same level of flattening: just enough to not overwhelm the health-care system.

This was a tacit admission that flattening the curve would be painful and that it would not be beneficial to flatten the curve beyond the level needed to prevent overwhelming the healthcare system.

The narrative of flattening the curve was almost silently replaced with "Lockdowns save lives." Many early shutdowns resulted in over-suppression, which meant any subsequent opening would be accompanied by an increase in cases and hospitalizations.

The greatest tragedy associated with abandoning flattening the curve to suppress at all costs is the massive number of non-coronavirus deaths that are a direct result of the lockdowns.

Flattening the curve was sound logic when it was originally presented, and remains so today.

We must reject the largest, most destructive bait and switch ever enacted and return to the principles of flattening the curve.

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