In recent days, two things have become clear: 1) The overall death rate is dramatically inflated with people who died only with COVID-19 - not because of it - especially in nursing homes; 2) Outside nursing homes, the fatality rate is low even for most seniors and shockingly low for younger and healthier people.
To begin with, the media and politicians are still promoting high overall infection fatality rates, such as the World Health Organization's estimate of 3.4%. But we've seen enough random sampling from serological antibody tests, corroborated by hard data from prisons and navy ships, to demonstrate that the virus spread earlier, wider, and more asymptomatically than previously thought, thereby driving the fatality rate much lower.
Roughly 68 percent of all deaths statewide occurred in nursing homes.
So how many of those over 75 or 80 who died were outside nursing homes? No state has published such data, but if you do the math and assume that most of the nursing homes deaths were among seniors, it means that more than 90% of senior deaths were in nursing homes.
Thus, the fatality rate even for seniors outside nursing homes is dramatically lower than the top-line numbers suggest.
As I've noted before, the nursing homes have appallingly high numbers because of several factors, including a likely overcount of the numbers, the disastrous decision to send positive patients back into the senior homes, and the fact that the median stay of anyone who dies in any nursing homes is just five months.
What about those younger than 60 or 65? Their death rate is so remarkably low that the risk does not rise above the level of any normal daily activity.
https://www.conservativereview.com/news/horowitz-new-study-demonstrates-low-coronavirus-fatality-rate-outside-nursing-homes/
To begin with, the media and politicians are still promoting high overall infection fatality rates, such as the World Health Organization's estimate of 3.4%. But we've seen enough random sampling from serological antibody tests, corroborated by hard data from prisons and navy ships, to demonstrate that the virus spread earlier, wider, and more asymptomatically than previously thought, thereby driving the fatality rate much lower.
Roughly 68 percent of all deaths statewide occurred in nursing homes.
So how many of those over 75 or 80 who died were outside nursing homes? No state has published such data, but if you do the math and assume that most of the nursing homes deaths were among seniors, it means that more than 90% of senior deaths were in nursing homes.
Thus, the fatality rate even for seniors outside nursing homes is dramatically lower than the top-line numbers suggest.
As I've noted before, the nursing homes have appallingly high numbers because of several factors, including a likely overcount of the numbers, the disastrous decision to send positive patients back into the senior homes, and the fact that the median stay of anyone who dies in any nursing homes is just five months.
What about those younger than 60 or 65? Their death rate is so remarkably low that the risk does not rise above the level of any normal daily activity.
https://www.conservativereview.com/news/horowitz-new-study-demonstrates-low-coronavirus-fatality-rate-outside-nursing-homes/
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