An under-explored trend bears looking into: the consistent underperformance of Republican candidates in middle- and working-class America over the last month.
All five Republicans running in seats where a majority of voters want a Republican House hold leads, and six of eight lead in districts where between 47 and 49 percent want a GOP House, and the GOP leads the Democrats.
Most Republicans with narrow ballot leads have room to grow among undecided voters who like Trump and the GOP, giving them a better chance of prevailing than looking simply at their own numbers would suggest.
In another five races, the Republican is tied or only narrowly ahead, but the GOP is ahead and at or close to a majority of the vote on the generic ballot.
Only Washington's Republican congresswoman Jaime Herrera Beutler is running significantly ahead of her party; everyone else has room to grow.
The Republican nominee runs behind Trump's job-approval rating in nearly every poll, regardless of the state, and runs even with him in all other polls.
The polls vary in showing the Republican or the Democrat ahead, but all reveal that quite a few Trump supporters are not yet sold on the local Republican candidate.
https://www.city-journal.org/blue-wave-or-breaking-red
All five Republicans running in seats where a majority of voters want a Republican House hold leads, and six of eight lead in districts where between 47 and 49 percent want a GOP House, and the GOP leads the Democrats.
Most Republicans with narrow ballot leads have room to grow among undecided voters who like Trump and the GOP, giving them a better chance of prevailing than looking simply at their own numbers would suggest.
In another five races, the Republican is tied or only narrowly ahead, but the GOP is ahead and at or close to a majority of the vote on the generic ballot.
Only Washington's Republican congresswoman Jaime Herrera Beutler is running significantly ahead of her party; everyone else has room to grow.
The Republican nominee runs behind Trump's job-approval rating in nearly every poll, regardless of the state, and runs even with him in all other polls.
The polls vary in showing the Republican or the Democrat ahead, but all reveal that quite a few Trump supporters are not yet sold on the local Republican candidate.
https://www.city-journal.org/blue-wave-or-breaking-red
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