Tuesday, February 20, 2024

Massive Money Printing Will Accelerate As Debt Soars

What Americans got was a massive deficit and persistent inflation.

According to Moody's chief economist, Mark Zandi, the entire disinflation process seen in the past years comes from exogenous factors such as "Fading fallout from the global pandemic on global supply chains and labor markets, and the Russian War in Ukraine and the impact on oil, food, and other commodity prices." The complete disinflation trend follows the slump in money supply, but the Consumer Price Index should have fallen faster if deficit spending, which means more consumption of newly created currency, would have been under control.

The United States annual CPI came above estimates, proving that the recent bounce in money supply and rising deficit spending continue to erode the purchasing power of the currency and that the base effect generated too much optimism in the past two prints.

The massive deficit means more taxes, more inflation, and lower growth in the future.

The Congressional Budget Office expects an unsustainable path that still leaves a 5.0% deficit by 2027, growing every year to reach a massive 10.0% of GDP in 2053 due to a much faster growth in spending than in revenues.

Deficits mean that the currency's purchasing power will continue to vanish with money printing and that the real disposable income of Americans will be demolished with a combination of higher taxes and a weaker real value of their wages and deposit savings.

Deficits are likely to surprise negatively again, which means more taxes and lower potential growth disguised with a new set of liquidity injections.

https://mises.org/wire/massive-money-printing-will-accelerate-debt-soars

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