Tuesday, May 11, 2021

Criminal Immigrants in Texas in 2019: Illegal Immigrant Conviction Rates and Arrest Rates for Homicide, Sex Crimes, Larceny, and Other Crimes

There is less research on illegal immigrant criminality, but it shows that illegal immigrants have lower incarceration rates nationwide relative to native‐​born Americans, had lower conviction and arrest rates in Texas in earlier years, and had the same rates of re‐​arrest in Los Angeles County in 2002.3 New research inspired by the Cato Institute's earlier findings on illegal immigrant crime in Texas, but based on more‐​granular crime data in Texas, found that illegal immigrants have a lower criminal conviction rate than native‐​born Americans and legal immigrants.

The Texas DPS data separately show the number of convictions and arrests of legal immigrants, illegal immigrants, and native‐​born Americans in Texas for the calendar year 2019.

Gunadi imputed legal immigrant status and identified those remaining as illegal immigrants, which is different from the residual statistical methods that identify illegal immigrants first and then count the remaining people as legal immigrants.

The Department of Homeland Security's method for estimating the size of the illegal immigrant population is conceptually similar to Gunadi's, but it estimates a larger illegal immigrant population.

Using Gunadi's method for estimating the size of the illegal immigrant population would thus result in slightly higher illegal immigrant criminal conviction rates and slightly lower legal immigrant criminal conviction rates.

According to Gunadi's methods, people are counted as legal immigrants if they met any of the following criteria as recorded in the 2019 American Community Survey: the immigrant arrived after 1980; is a U.S. citizen; received welfare benefits such as Social Security, Supplemental Security Income, Medicaid, Medicare, or military insurance; served in the Armed Forces; worked for the government; resided in public housing or received rental subsidies or was the spouse of someone who resided in public housing or received rental subsidies; had occupational licenses; or was born in Cuba and had a spouse who was a legal immigrant or U.S. citizen.

There were 24,046,883 native‐​born Americans, 1,871,115 illegal immigrants, and 3,077,883 legal immigrants living in Texas in 2019.13 In that year, native‐​born Americans made up about 82.9 percent of the Texas population, illegal immigrants made up about 6.5 percent of the population, and legal immigrants made up about 10.6 percent.

https://www.cato.org/immigration-research-policy-brief/criminal-immigrants-texas-2019 

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