Friday, May 24, 2019

If Warren and Sanders want to beat Biden, one of them will need to drop out

The trouble for progressives is that, even though their wing of the party might be ascendant, Sanders and Warren have the potential to divide their vote all the way to Milwaukee, allowing the more center-left Biden to claim the nomination.

It's becoming ever more obvious that the only way for either Warren or Sanders to get a clean shot at taking Biden head-on is for one of them to get out of the way.

To be clear, Biden's lead is so big right now that even just adding the vote shares of Sanders and Warren together wouldn't catch him.

The most recent Morning Consult poll suggests Biden would get 37 percent of Sanders voters and 20 percent of Warren voters if they dropped out, a reminder that there is no such thing as a "Lane" in presidential primaries and voters consider much more than policy preferences when choosing candidates.

That said, Sanders is the clear second choice of Warren voters, and Warren is right behind Biden for Sanders supporters.

Of course, having invested time, money and soul into the effort to win the nomination, neither Warren nor Sanders will be dropping out anytime soon, especially not with hours of free media coming to them as part of the endless debate process, and with the Iowa caucuses still more than eight tedious months away.

Both candidates and their supporters deserve a long chance to take the case directly to the primary electorate, to build momentum and to cut into Biden's lead. It is also possible that the primary becomes a three-way race after Super Tuesday, and that Biden pulls into the convention short of a pledged delegate majority, while Warren and Sanders combined have him beat.


https://theweek.com/articles/843133/warren-sanders-want-beat-biden-need-drop



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