Monday, November 30, 2015

A Once in a Century Opportunity

Hundred year tides don't appear in cycles of a century.  They're just very rare, occurring when a powerful storm coincides with the regular high tides of the autumn equinox.  I submit we're in such a moment, politically, today.
Because Hillary Clinton is seeking to succeed a relatively unpopular two term incumbent in a slack economy, the deck is stacked against her.  That's the normal ebb and flow of politics, a typical tide.  But the political storm that threatens to break next year, in conjunction with this tide, is quite untypical.   It's practically perfect.  Josh Kraushaar of National Journal has outlined the shape of the race, and listed most of the Republican advantages.
It starts with the candidates.  Hillary will be the worst politician nominated by a major party since the 19th century.  She is mistrusted and disliked.  She has no natural political skills, and her age and baggage weigh her down.  Add a sluggish economy, a nation convinced it is on the wrong path, national and homeland security anxieties, uncontrolled illegal immigration, an NRA on the warpath, and the Democrats, the party of government, arguing for more of it at a time when the government is held in almost universal ill repute, and you've got the storm.   It will turn a spring flood into a tide the likes of which we haven't seen in a hundred years.
And let us never forget the moment when the tide began to turn.  The implementation of Obamacare in October of 2013 was when everything changed.  A President and his party were caught in a blatant, premeditated lie.  Despite their repeated promises, you couldn't keep your doctor, and you couldn't keep your health insurance, and it didn't save everybody money.  It was not just an unmitigated mess; it was a program and a policy sold to the American people by a president lying through his teeth.  Republicans will be sure not to allow the voters to forget these damning facts.

No comments: