Nonpartisan Prognosticator: Even More House Democrats Are Now Vulnerable

The nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office estimated that real gross domestic product, or GDP, will grow 3.1% in 2022, driven by consumer spending and demand for services, according to the report released Wednesday.

Experts have been debating whether a recession is more likely this year, next year, or even in 2024, when CBO expects inflation to finally subside.

NEW: The midterm outlook for House Dems is so bleak that even members in districts Biden won by 10 to 15 points are in danger of losing their seats, per the Cook Political Report.

In the 2018 blue wave - which did not hit Senate races, for various reasons - Cook predicted upwards of a 40-seat gain for House Democrats.

Republicans won all 27 House races the Cook Political Report rated as "Toss-ups" in its 2020 election analysis, in addition to picking up seven of the 36 seats the outlet rated as "Likely Democrat" or "Lean Democrat." ... Before the election, the Cook Political Report listed 229 seats as either "Solid Democrat," "Likely Democrat," or "Lean Democrat" to go along with the 26 toss-ups.

The results represent a major disappointment for Democrats, who grew increasingly confident of a "Blue wave" leading up to Election Day that would give them an expanded House majority.

Instead, Republicans look likely to pick up about 15 seats in the House, which would give Democrats a slim majority when the new Congress convenes in January.

https://townhall.com/tipsheet/guybenson/2022/05/31/nonpartisan-prognosticator-even-more-house-democrats-are-now-vulnerable-n2607965