Sunday, September 27, 2020

Biden's Foreign Policy Circle Has History of Failed Predictions

Several of the foreign-policy hands most likely to join a Biden administration have been "Consistently wrong" in their prognostications about the Trump administration's global diplomacy, including their predictions that Trump's hardline policies would ignite war in the Middle East and make Israel less safe, a new report says.

In reality, these policies have constrained Iran's atomic weapons program, bolstered Israel's security, and brought the Middle East closer to peace than ever before, the study says.

If Biden wins the 2020 election, his administration is poised to roll back most of Trump's signature foreign-policy achievements.

These predictions did not materialize, and Iran backed down when faced with the threat of a full-scale war with the United States.

Other foreign-policy minds likely to be considered for a Biden National Security Council or State Department have also been wrong in their doomsday predictions about Trump's Middle East policy.

These "Logical consequences" of Trump's actions, as Indyk put it on Twitter, failed to materialize.

Ilan Goldenberg, another Biden ally who served as chief of staff to the special envoy for Israeli-Palestinian Negotiations from 2013 to 2014, argued that Trump's withdrawal from the nuclear deal with Iran would result in "a weak sanctions regime." American sanctions, he wrote in a 2018 article, "Will be a fraction of what it was in 2012.".

https://freebeacon.com/2020-election/study-bidens-foreign-policy-circle-has-history-of-failed-predictions/ 

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