Thursday, February 1, 2018

Restrictionists Are Misleading You About Immigrant Crime Rates

President Donald Trump never misses an opportunity to depict unauthorized immigrants-especially of the Hispanic variety-as "Rapists and criminals." He did it again in his State of the Union address when he drew attention to two Long Island teenage girls killed by the El Salvadorian gang MS13. Those deaths are tragic, but they don't say much one way or the other about the propensity of these immigrants to commit crimes.

Kirsanow failed to appreciate that the purpose of the GAO report was to estimate the reimbursement that Uncle Sam owes state and local governments for incarcerating criminal illegal immigrants.

That is why the GAO report is nearly worthless for any scholarly attempt to estimate illegal immigrant crime rates.

Clearly, only a small fraction of a percent of all murderers are incarcerated in federal prisons so most undocumented immigrants in these facilities are not hardened criminals.

As Kirsanow acknowledged, the government doesn't keep good data on illegal immigrant incarcerations in state correctional facilities.

The Texas Tribune reported, after examining data obtained from the Texas Department of Criminal Justice, that illegal immigrants are underrepresented in local jails.

If illegal immigrants are more crime-prone, then more aggressive immigration enforcement in an area should lower crime rates.

This suggests, at a minimum, that illegal immigrants' crime rate is no higher than that of the broader population.

We applied a statistical technique that is used to figure out the employment, age, and occupations of immigrants in the census to the incarcerated population data in the American Community Survey.

Restrictionists want the public to believe that undocumented immigrants are criminals in order to justify harsh enforcement policies and crackdowns.

http://reason.com/archives/2018/02/01/immigrants-and-crime

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