Inaccurate Virus Models Are Panicking Officials Into Ill-Advised Lockdowns

1. An interactive map provides users a catastrophic forecast for each state, should they wait to implement COVID Act Now';s suggested strict measures to flatten the curve. But a closer look at how many of COVID Act Now's predictions have already fallen short, and how they became a ubiquitous resource across the country overnight, suggests something more sinister.
2. A scan of statements made by media, state governors, local leaders, county judges, and more show many relying on the same source, an online mapping tool called COVID Act Now.
3. The models are being shared across social media, news reports, and finding their way into officials daily decisions, which is concerning because COVID Act Now's predictions have already been proven to be wildly wrong.
4. Prior to building the COVID Act Now website, Kofman created an online game designed to raise $1 million for the eventual 2020 Democratic candidate and defeat President Trump.
5. COVID Act Now predicted that by March 19 the state of Tennessee could expect 190 hospitalizations of patients with confirmed Wuhan virus.
6. How a handful of Democratic activists created alarming, but bogus data sets to scare local and state officials into making rash, economy-killing mandates.
7. As U.S. state and local officials halt the economy and quarantine their communities over the Wuhan virus crisis, one would hope our leaders were making such major decisions based on well-sourced data and statistical analysis.
8. Our governors and state officials deserve better data and analysis than a Democratic activists model that doesn't adjust for important geographical factors like population density or temperature.
9. Jordan Schachtel, a national security writer, said COVID Act Now's modeling comes from one team based at Imperial College London that is not only highly scrutinized, but has a track record of bad predictions.
10. In Florida, Covid Act Now predicted that by March 19, the state would face 400 hospitalizations.
11. Gretchen Whitmer cited COVID Act Now when telling her state they would exceed 7 million cases in Michigan, with 1 million hospitalized and 460,000 deaths if the state did nothing.

https://thefederalist.com/2020/03/25/inaccurate-virus-models-are-panicking-officials-into-ill-advised-lockdowns/