One idea that has been advanced in
some conservative quarters, such as by Representative Kevin Brady, is
for the Federal Reserve to end its dual mandate and just focus on
fighting inflation.
Brady recently introduced legislation calling for this but it may turn out that his efforts are not really necessary. Based on my reading of Gavyn Davies column in the Financial Times, the Fed is already acting as if it only had a single mandate anyway:
Brady recently introduced legislation calling for this but it may turn out that his efforts are not really necessary. Based on my reading of Gavyn Davies column in the Financial Times, the Fed is already acting as if it only had a single mandate anyway:
Although
it is easy to agree with Mr Bernanke’s determination to keep inflation
anchored, there are quite a few surprising things in this statement. For
someone who has previously argued that he takes the Fed’s dual mandate
seriously, and has also believed that unemployment in the current
recession is demand determined, not supply determined, it is odd to hear
the chairman giving so little weight to the fact that the Fed’s
employment objective will not be achieved for several years.
It
is also odd to hear that he now believes that any improvement to the
employment path might be “quite tentative and maybe doubtful”. Does that
not sound more like someone who believes that unemployment is already
near its structural or natural rate, at which point the Fed has no
further responsbility for reducing it? This seems to be a change in the
chairman’s use of language compared to what he has consistently said
since the recession started.
Another puzzle is the FOMC’s latest take
on its inflation objective. Although the chairman says that it is a
symmetrical target around 2 percent, the committee in fact seems to have
little or no tolerance for taking any risk that inflation might exceed 2
percent for even a fairly short space of time. This is also more
hawkish than would seem consistent with the dual mandate.
No comments:
Post a Comment