Thursday, May 3, 2012

What Tomorrow's Shift in the La Nina-El Nino Cycle Means

Changes are brewing in the equatorial Pacific, and they could profoundly affect weather across the U.S. and much of the globe next winter and spring.
La Niña, which has held sway since last fall, will be officially declared a goner Thursday, an official at the Climate Prediction Center in Maryland told InsideClimate News. And while nobody is quite certain what will happen next, some long-range forecast models are pointing to the possible emergence of the opposite phenomenon: El Niño.
Climate scientists are still trying to determine what role climate change plays in the La Niña/El Niño cycle. One study by scientists with NASA and the Pacific Marine Environmental Laboratory in Seattle suggests global warming may already be affecting the intensity and impacts of El Niño.
Regardless of climate change's role, a shift away from this year's La Niña could dramatically alter temperature, precipitation and extreme weather patterns.
Here's why.
La Niña occurs when sea-surface temperatures in a key region of the central Pacific turn abnormally cool over several months. The cool waters, coupled with large-scale changes in wind and pressure patterns, generally cause a northward shift in storms across North America.

Read more: http://insideclimatenews.org/news/20120502/weather-insider-la-nina-el-nino-hurricanes-extreme-weather-climate-change

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