Disappointing, but not shocking. The government’s report
Friday that the economy created fewer jobs than expected in
April—115,000—showed an unwelcome deceleration of America’s job-creating
machine. Economists surveyed by Bloomberg News
had a median forecast of 160,000 jobs created. In the big picture,
though, the nearly three-year-old expansion is proceeding at the same
pace as the previous two. Slow recovery, in other words, is the New
Normal.
The Bureau of Labor Statistics reported that the
unemployment rate fell to 8.1 percent in April from 8.2 percent in
March. But that wasn’t great news, because it reflected a decline in the
share of the population in the labor force, to the lowest level since
December 1981. When people drop out of the labor force they aren’t
counted as unemployed, so the jobless rate goes down.More bad news: Average hourly earnings were essentially unchanged, and there was no increase in the length of the average hourly workweek. One of the few bright spots is that the government revised upward its estimate of job creation in March, to 154,000 from the initially reported 120,000.
What makes this recovery seem so frustratingly slow is that the U.S. is coming out of a deeper hole this time. In the 1990-91 slump, employment fell by 1.6 million. The 2001 slump was worse: 2.7 million jobs lost. But neither comes close to the disaster of the 2007-2009 recession, when employment fell by 8.8 million.
Read more: http://www.businessweek.com/articles/2012-05-04/putting-our-slow-jobs-recovery-into-perspective
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