"Winter in the US this year is going to be very different. El Nino is ramping up in the Pacific. Sea surface temperatures in the Atlantic Ocean are still off the charts, and we're going to have an amplified southern jet stream," US meteorological analyst and YouTuber Ryan Hall said in a video published on Saturday.
He said the El Nino weather phenomenon will "Affect how much snow we get and how often we see it, but it's also going to change when the snow starts."
Essentially, sometime in January is when you're going to see your first snow down here.
Of course, the final gray zone here shows us where snow can occur as early as October 2nd, which is actually around the time that this video goes up.
Hall pointed out, "But I want you to think back to what I said at the beginning of this video. This is not a typical year. The 2023-2024 winter season is going to be very different" due to "2023-2024 winter is an El Nino pattern."
"This is when those waters down in the Pacific are warmer than usual, and the thunderstorm activity starts going crazy. This actually amplifies the Southern Jet Stream, sending several storm systems flying across the Southern US. And a lot of times, those storm systems are very strong, and they can latch on to some of the colder air up north and cause very big snowstorms. For example, some of you guys might remember the North American blizzard of 2003," Hall explained.
He also reminded folks of the "January blizzard of 2016 dumped three feet of snow across a huge chunk of the Mid-Atlantic region, and caused $500 million in damage. Now, we can't say that either of those storms were directly caused by El Nino, but it's something to keep in mind as we develop our forecast. And El Nino years are notorious for keeping things mild, especially in the East."
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