A Common Sense Look at 20 million Saved Lives

A mathematical modeling study from London’s Imperial College, recently published as a preprint in The LANCET, purports to demonstrate that the COVID vaccines saved roughly 15 to 20 million lives in 2021. The authors excluded China from their model, because “of its unique position as the origin of the detected pandemic” (?) and “of its large influence on estimates of deaths averted stemming from its population size.”

The number of global deaths is currently around 60 million per year. Although the UN has apparently not yet reported definite numbers for 2020 and 2021, any major swing would certainly have been noticed and widely discussed by now. 

1. The Imperial College authors want us to believe that without the COVID vaccines the world’s total death toll would have risen by at least a third in 2021 (had they included China, their result would have come close to an increase of 50%), and that this rise would have been entirely due to COVID-19.
2. A mathematical modeling study from London’s Imperial College, recently published as a preprint in The LANCET, purports to demonstrate that the COVID vaccines saved roughly 15 to 20 million lives in 2021.

 

https://brownstone.org/articles/a-common-sense-look-at-20-million-saved-lives/