Earlier today the US Treasury released its latest Borrowing Estimates for
Q1 and Q2 of calendar 2013. In brief: in the ended quarter, the
Treasury borrowed some $297 billion, $9 billion more than the $288
billion previously predicted. One reason for this miss is the build up
of cash in the quarter which ended at $93 billion instead of the $60
billion initially expected. However the extra cash buffer will be used
in Q1, in which Treasury now expects to burn some $63 billion instead of
the $30 billion forecast before, ending the quarter with $30 billion in
cash. To get there, Treasury will need to raise some $331 billion in debt in January through March,
just shy of the prior estimate of $342 billion in funding need in this
quarter. And since the US debt to the penny counter has been stopped
since the debt ceiling breach, and is still at the December 31, 2012
debt limit of $16.432 billion, this means we now know, approximately,
that US debt on March 31, 2013 will be $16,763,730,050,569.10, give or take a dime, or said otherwise, assuming a generous 1% sequential growth in Q1 GDP, a 105% debt/GDP in two months.
Read more: http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2013-02-04/treasury-forecasts-16763-trillion-debt-march-31-105-debtgdp
Read more: http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2013-02-04/treasury-forecasts-16763-trillion-debt-march-31-105-debtgdp
No comments:
Post a Comment