Greece’s downward spiral has come to the top of
the euro zone agenda again, with economists and analysts warning that
it is closer than ever to running out of cash, and that the survival of a
coalition government brought in just five months ago is under threat.
“Greece
is running out of cash.The current strategy is really not working and
there is substantial political risk,” Thanos Vamvakidis, head of
European G10 currency strategy at Bank of America Merrill Lynch, told
CNBC Thursday.
Greece’s
economy has disappointed on every key metric – growth, unemployment and
debt reduction - since the initial bailout terms were agreed. Its
debt-to-GDP ratio, already the highest in the euro zone, will reach 189
percent, rather than 179 percent, Finance Minister Yannis Stournaras
announced Wednesday.
This
means that the targets agreed as part of the bailout are based on
over-optimistic forecasts. The country’s privatization program is also
not proceeding as quickly as hoped.
Greece’s government also wants the deadline for its primary surplus to reach 4.5 percent to be extended by two years, to 2016.
“Greece
is likely to receive its next disbursement of aid only because it's in
everybody's interest to keep Greece ticking over until the next review.
This is "muddling through" in its purest form,” Nicholas Spiro, managing
director at Spiro Sovereign Strategy, warned.
The
Hellenic country is facing a yawning 40 billion euros ($51.7 billion)
“funding gap” if the extension is granted, analysts at Credit Suisse
warned.
Read more: http://www.cnbc.com/id/49606194
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