In several battleground states, President Barack Obama is either tied
within the margin of error or pulling ahead, which is getting a lot
attention from the media. We get updates on every swing state there
is. But here's one statistic we don't hear much about: Gallup
reports that 22 percent of swing-state voters say they may still change
their minds. Those one-in-five who say they might change their minds
includes 10 percent who currently say they support Obama and 7 percent
who support Romney. In swing states that are within the margin of
error, that's huge. And we're not hearing much about that at all.
Here's something else we're not hearing much about: "swing" voters. Whatever happened to the all-important independent voters Obama won by a large margin in 2008—52 percent for Obama to 44 percent for McCain—and who make up a record 38 percent of the electorate? According to Pew Research's numbers this summer, only 32 percent of voters identified themselves as Democrats, and 24 percent Republicans. Nearly 4 in 10 voters now are independents, the largest margin ever.
There's not much news about horse-race numbers among independent voters, at least not in the last few months. I think if Obama were leading among independents, we'd be hearing all about them. Instead, we're hearing a lot of crickets chirping.
You have to look hard to find mentions of independents at all. If you dug deep into a CNN poll taken earlier this month of both registered and likely voters—which showed an overall lead of 52 percent for Obama to 46 percent for Romney—you'd find that Romney led Obama among likely independent voters by a whopping 14 points, 54 to 40 percent.
Read more: http://www.usnews.com/opinion/blogs/mary-kate-cary/2012/09/28/the-liberal-media-is-ignoring-romneys-strength-with-independents
Here's something else we're not hearing much about: "swing" voters. Whatever happened to the all-important independent voters Obama won by a large margin in 2008—52 percent for Obama to 44 percent for McCain—and who make up a record 38 percent of the electorate? According to Pew Research's numbers this summer, only 32 percent of voters identified themselves as Democrats, and 24 percent Republicans. Nearly 4 in 10 voters now are independents, the largest margin ever.
There's not much news about horse-race numbers among independent voters, at least not in the last few months. I think if Obama were leading among independents, we'd be hearing all about them. Instead, we're hearing a lot of crickets chirping.
You have to look hard to find mentions of independents at all. If you dug deep into a CNN poll taken earlier this month of both registered and likely voters—which showed an overall lead of 52 percent for Obama to 46 percent for Romney—you'd find that Romney led Obama among likely independent voters by a whopping 14 points, 54 to 40 percent.
Read more: http://www.usnews.com/opinion/blogs/mary-kate-cary/2012/09/28/the-liberal-media-is-ignoring-romneys-strength-with-independents
No comments:
Post a Comment