The New York Times
has some interesting data visualisation about the growth of e-commerce
jobs and the decline of retail sectors employment (Figure 1). Online
shopping accounts for only 8.4 percent of all retail sales in the United
States, but it has had an outsize effect on the retail workforce. The Financial Times
has a graphical review of the recent stock market sell-off on retail
department stores, spurred by mounting concerns about the effects of
online competition.
A related
question would be what the implications are, not only for retailers and
retail-property companies, but also for the financial firms that have
given them money, from banks to life-insurance companies. The Economist
argues that total amount of capital, both debt and equity, supporting
American retailing (excluding Amazon) now exceeds $2.5trn. The hundreds
of thousands of jobs created by new online firms have not absorbed the
job losses at traditional retailers. At the same time, the new jobs are
concentrated in a handful of large cities and tech hubs (Figure 2 from NYT). Examining property data from CBRE brokerage, The Economist argues
that some cities with fewer shops per person, such as New York and
Seattle, may fare better, but that few parts of the country will be
untouched.
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