We
are one week out from Election Day 2012 as I write this piece. Tropical
storm Sandy has ravaged much of the north eastern sea board including
New York, New Jersey, Virginia and the New England states. Millions
are under water and/or without power. Officials are predicting up to
10 days to restore power and longer than that to get life back to normal
in the affected areas.
I’ll
come back to this problem in a moment…
The
Obama campaign is in huge trouble, dropping
22 points since 2008 in early voting results across the country
and running behind Romney 52-45% according to the most recent Gallup
poll. If you think that they were not anticipating and preparing for
a tough re-election bid after four years of disastrous administrative
failures in every facet of the administrations responsibilities, think
again.
At
this point in 2008, Obama was massacring John McCain in early voting
by a 55-40% margin, with 33% of voters voting early in both elections.
McCain closed the gap to 3 points on Election Day 2008 and went on to
lose by 7 points in the end.
If
Romney really is ahead by 7 points at this stage of the race, Obama
could lose big time on November 6th. However, there is no way to have
any real confidence in the Gallup poll and even more concerning is the
methods by which Obama has plotted to win, even if Romney and Ryan defeat
him in the national popular vote.
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