In a typical year, the young men in this agricultural region of western Mexico
would have made the journey north to America. But not this year or for
this generation: a better future across the border is a promise they no
longer trust.
"For years, we dreamed of America, but now that dream is no good," says 18-year-old Pedro Morales, sitting in the elegant Spanish colonial square of Comala under the shadow of the spectacular Volcan de Fuego. "There are no jobs and too many problems. We don't want to go."
In an historic shift, the tide of immigration from Mexico to the US has stalled. Villages that were empty of young men are now full. A report published by the Pew Hispanic Center this week confirmed what was already anecdotally clear: the largest wave of immigration in US history has stalled and is now close to slipping into reverse.
Between 2005 and 2010, 1.4 million Mexicans immigrated to the United States, less than half the number that migrated between 1995 and 2000. At the same time, the number of Mexicans who moved to Mexico over the same period rose to 1.4 million, double the number over the previous five years.
Other research groups in the field say the narrowing gap in wages and relative costs of living between Mexico and the US, as well as improving education standards in Mexico, has tipped the calculation back.
"The great migration of the past five decades has been slowing for a decade," says Doug Massey, founder of the Mexican Migration Project at Princeton University. "We've been at a point of stasis since 2009."
On the US side, election year tough-on-immigration rhetoric has obscured the subtleties of the US-Mexico relationship.
Read more: http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2012/apr/25/young-men-mexico-us-future
"For years, we dreamed of America, but now that dream is no good," says 18-year-old Pedro Morales, sitting in the elegant Spanish colonial square of Comala under the shadow of the spectacular Volcan de Fuego. "There are no jobs and too many problems. We don't want to go."
In an historic shift, the tide of immigration from Mexico to the US has stalled. Villages that were empty of young men are now full. A report published by the Pew Hispanic Center this week confirmed what was already anecdotally clear: the largest wave of immigration in US history has stalled and is now close to slipping into reverse.
Between 2005 and 2010, 1.4 million Mexicans immigrated to the United States, less than half the number that migrated between 1995 and 2000. At the same time, the number of Mexicans who moved to Mexico over the same period rose to 1.4 million, double the number over the previous five years.
Other research groups in the field say the narrowing gap in wages and relative costs of living between Mexico and the US, as well as improving education standards in Mexico, has tipped the calculation back.
"The great migration of the past five decades has been slowing for a decade," says Doug Massey, founder of the Mexican Migration Project at Princeton University. "We've been at a point of stasis since 2009."
On the US side, election year tough-on-immigration rhetoric has obscured the subtleties of the US-Mexico relationship.
Read more: http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2012/apr/25/young-men-mexico-us-future
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