Monday, November 5, 2012

Skewed Polling Meets Energized Conservatives

Polling firms continue to oversample Democrats by preposterous margins to deliver polls reflecting President Obama ahead of Governor Romney in battleground states. Therefore, when his complicit media lapdogs gleefully report the top-line result, it can be quite demoralizing to voters wanting a better path for America.
But when you dig into the poll numbers themselves, the president really is in dire straits -- even within his own party. Therefore, the polling institutions wanting a positive Obama-result have no choice but to find a few more Democrats willing to vote for the guy. So if they can prevent just a handful of Romney voters from turning out on Election Day, maybe Obama's would-be losses in these various states will be less embarrassing.
Take the latest poll coming out of Iowa, for example. It was conducted by the Des Moines Register and now sits atop the other Iowa polls over at Real Clear Politics. It claims Obama is now leading Romney by 47-42. This means that 11 percent are undecided. If you follow the logic of Dick Morris -- that undecided voters always vote against the embattled incumbent -- the actual result is 53-47 for Romney thereby giving the Governor the state's electoral votes.
But it doesn't stop there. In fact, if you read the findings within the poll, coupled with the average turnout of Iowa voters from 2000, 2004, and 2008 of 1,426,021 voters, you come to numbers which are very close to the 53-47.
The poll tells us many interesting details when you read down a bit:
1.) Obama is allegedly ahead of Romney by 22 points among early voters.
2.) Romney is ahead of Obama by eight points with voters who will be voting Tuesday.
3.) Romney is ahead of Obama among independents by four points.

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