Preliminary UK data: Triple vaccinated SARS-2 positives are more than four times more likely to have Omicron than unvaccinated.

Norman Fenton points out an interesting tidbit in the 21 December UK Office of National Statistics infection survey, on "Characteristics related to having an Omicron compatible result in those who test positive for COVID-19".

The data is for infections from 29 November to 12 December.

Those who have received three doses of a vaccine and test positive for COVID-19 are more likely to be infected with infections compatible with the Omicron variant compared with those who are unvaccinated, though individuals who had received at least one dose of a COVID-19 vaccine continued to be less likely to test positive for COVID-19, regardless of variant.

Nevertheless: According to these numbers, the triple vaccinated were 4.45 times more likely than the unvaccinated to have Omicron, among those who tested positive for Corona.

For comparison, those with recent travel abroad were 4.6 times more likely than the unvaccinated to have Omicron, while the double vaccinated were 2.26 times more likely, and the single vaccinated 1.57 times more likely.

The authors of that study tried to talk away this awkward result by claiming that it "Was likely the result of Omicron spreading rapidly initially through single events causing many infections among young, vaccinated individuals." The more the same effect is viewed in other data sets, the less likely that explanation becomes.

UPDATE: See The Naked Emperor's post on this anomaly and related trends in the UK Data: The New Normal - Pandemics of the Vaccinated?

https://eugyppius.substack.com/p/preliminary-uk-data-triple-vaccinated