Saturday, December 15, 2018

China and Russia: A Strategic Alliance in the Making

In analyzing threats to American security, "The most dangerous scenario," he warned, would be "a grand coalition of China and Russiaunited not by ideology but by complementary grievances." This coalition "Would be reminiscent in scale and scope of the challenge once posed by the Sino-Soviet bloc, though this time China would likely be the leader and Russia the follower."

The Nixon-Kissinger gambit is now known as "Playing the China card." Today we should be asking: is Xi Jinping's China "Playing the Russia card?".

Today's map draws a line between Russia and China that leaves a large swath of what was in earlier centuries Chinese on the Russian side of the divide.

The confluence of China's strategic foresight and exquisite diplomacy, on the one hand, and U.S. and Western European clumsiness, on the other, has produced an increasingly thick and consequential alignment between two geopolitical rivals, Russia and China.

To the extent that China persuades Russia to sit on its side of the see-saw, this adds to China's heft, a nuclear superpower alongside an economic superpower.

As U.S. pressure on Russia grew with sanctions after Russia's annexation of Crimea and a diplomatic effort to "Isolate" Russia, China opened its arms.

Official U.S. national security documents designate Russia and China America's "Strategic competitors," "Strategic adversaries" and even "Enemies." Increasingly, they are discussed in the same sentence, as if they were twins.

https://nationalinterest.org/feature/china-and-russia-strategic-alliance-making-38727

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