As numerous studies over the last two decades have shown, interest
rate policies of a large number of central banks can be explained by the
so-called Taylor Rule. According to this rule, which is consistent with
inflation targeting, the policy rate is determined by a neutral real
rate, the target inflation rate, the output gap, and the deviation of
inflation from the target (or expected) rate. In this formula, the
output gap can be interpreted as a leading indicator for inflation, as
suggested by an augmented Phillips-curve inflation model, where the
deviation of actual inflation from the target has the character of an
error-correction term.
There is no room for financial variables, such as money, credit, or asset prices, in this policy rule.
Read more: http://www.voxeu.org/article/how-central-banks-contributed-financial-crisis
There is no room for financial variables, such as money, credit, or asset prices, in this policy rule.
- Leading economists and central bankers have indeed suggested that monetary policy should abstain from trying to prick asset price bubbles, but stand ready to support banks and financial markets when the bubbles burst (Bernanke and Gertler 2001).
- Only a minority have seen this differently and argued that monetary policy should lean against asset price inflation and monitor credit developments closely to this effect (ECB 2005).
Read more: http://www.voxeu.org/article/how-central-banks-contributed-financial-crisis
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