Sunday, July 29, 2012

The ECB Is On A Collision Course With The Bundesbank

The coordinated confidence-inspiring words from the Eurozone’s fearless leaders about doing whatever it would take to save the euro wasn’t about Greece anymore.
Its life support may get unplugged in September. Politicians have apparently given up. The tab isn’t that dramatic: default and return to the drachma would cost Germany €82 billion and France €62 billion (Ifo Institute PDF). Survivable.
The fearless leaders were afraid of Spain, whose vital signs were deteriorating.
Unemployment hit 24.6%, worse than Greece’s 22.5%. In the southern region of Andalusia, it rose to a mind-boggling 33%. Youth unemployment (16-24) set a sobering record of 53.3%. Even more worryingly, in a country where family solidarity and multi-generational households are the norm, the number of households where no one worked climbed to 1,737,000.
So, in the first half of 2012, over 40,000 Spaniards emigrated—up 44% from last year. Instead of consuming and producing in Spain, they took their education that society had invested in and sought their fortunes elsewhere.
Despite repeated assurances that Spain would not need a bailout other than the €100-billion bank bailout, Spanish Economic Minister Luis de Guindos flew to Berlin to meet with German Finance Minister Wolfgang Schäuble ... to discuss a bailout. For €300 billion.

Read more: http://www.testosteronepit.com/home/2012/7/27/war-of-the-central-banks.html#ixzz220KffH1E

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